PMIs in Southeast Asia see normalisation but far from sustainability
Gradual improvement in the purchasing managing indices (PMIs) across Southeast Asia shows some return to normalisation, but a sustained recovery is still far away, according to a report released by Barclays Research on August 3.
Hanoi (VNA) – Gradual improvement in the purchasing managing indices (PMIs)across Southeast Asia shows some return to normalisation, but a sustainedrecovery is still far away, according to a report released by Barclays Researchon August 3.
PMIs continue to be capped by still-weak demand, the report said,adding that confidence about the business environment in the near-termremains low, mirrored in the employment sub-index, which remains deep incontraction territory for all of Southeast Asia.
According to the report, it is likely that business sentiment is largelyimpacted by external demand conditions - the export orders sub-indexremains materially below pre-COVID-19 levels, even for countries that showedlarge month-to-month improvement in the index reading.
The PMI reading for July in Indonesia andThailand showed improvement over June's data following some lifting of restrictionslast month, Barclays noted.
However, it said the improvement in Thailand has been much slower thanexpected, despite the country urgently re-opened its economy. Meanwhile, the Philippines' manufacturing PMIdeclined to 48.4 points, down from 49.6 in June, due to impacts of tighteningrules to prevent COVID-19 in some parts of the country such as Cebu, it said.
As Manila moves back into a tighter lockdown from August 4, Barclays said it isexpecting the Philippines' PMI to fall deeper into contraction territory inAugust.
For now, Malaysia is the only country in Southeast Asia that has its PMI to bearound 50-point level, reaching 51 in June and 50 in July./.
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