Inflation is expected to dip lower in 2015, which could give the central bank room to cut back loan interest rates, according to the Ministry of Planning and Investment.
Inflation is expected to dip lower in 2015, which could give the centralbank room to cut back loan interest rates, according to the Ministry ofPlanning and Investment.
Initially, the inflation rate wasprojected to be 4 percent in 2015, as revealed in a meeting on December17, Vneconomy reported.
The Ministry of Planning andInvestment said any price adjustments, whether in case of products orservices in domains such as healthcare, education, power and petrol,must be carefully considered to prevent any significant impact.Similarly, any decision to adjust the price of oil should be criticallydeliberated upon, as well.
This followed the Electricity ofVietnam's proposal to raise power tariffs by an average of 9.5 percent,beginning this month.
According to the ministry, theinput-output analysis (I/O) revealed that a 9.5 percent increase inpower price would raise the production cost by 0.55 percent. It wouldalso cause the end-consumption of households to decline by 0.58 percentand the gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate to decrease by 0.45percent.
In addition, cutting the loan interest rate by onepercent would increase the GDP growth rate by 0.45 percent and cause theinflation rate to decline by 0.76 percent.
An expert saidthat the loan interest rates of Vietnam remain high, putting immensepressure on businesses. If loan interest rates are not lowered, then itwould be difficult for the economy to attain stable growth in medium andlong term.
The Government has prioritised macroeconomic stability and inflation reduction in the past.
In November, Prime Minister Nguyen Tan Dung had said Vietnam'sinflation rate this year was likely to remain below 3 percent, itslowest level in decades.-VNA
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